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After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.JPMorgan Chase downgraded C3.ai(AI.N), saying that the cost of artificial intelligence games is too high.Bureau of Labor Statistics: In November's inflation report, the housing index rose by 0.3%, accounting for nearly 40% of the growth of all projects in that month.

ExxonMobil Oil: US President-elect Trump will bring good prospects to the US oil and gas industry. Support US President-elect Trump to repair the "broken" licensing system in the US energy field.After the release of CPI data in the United States, the yield of euro zone bonds fell by about 1 basis point, and the yield of German 10-year bonds is now flat at 2.116%.In November, the CPI of the United States hit its biggest increase in seven months, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates next week. The consumer price index of the United States recorded its biggest increase in seven months in November, but it is unlikely to prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates for the third time next week in the context of the cooling job market. Data show that CPI rose by 0.3% last month, the biggest increase since April, after the index rose by 0.2% for four consecutive months. The year-on-year growth rate of CPI rose by 2.7% after rising by 2.6% in October. Compared with the peak of 9.1% in June 2022, the year-on-year growth rate of inflation has slowed down significantly. Nevertheless, in recent months, the process of reducing the inflation rate to the Fed's 2% target has actually stalled. However, the Fed is now more concerned about the labor market. Although employment growth accelerated in November after being severely disturbed by strikes and hurricanes in October, the unemployment rate accelerated to 4.2% after staying at 4.1% for two consecutive months.

Analyst Anna: It is expected that the CPI report in November will show the core inflation rate of 0.3% for the fourth consecutive month. This is consistent with the annual inflation increase of more than 3%, which is higher than the Fed's target of 2%. Since the middle of the year, the anti-inflation process of core CPI seems to have stagnated. There is no doubt that this will be a topic to be discussed at the FOMC meeting in December.The institution is optimistic about these stocks today. On December 11th, as of press time, the institution gave 22 latest buy ratings, among which the target price of 8 stocks was announced:-Steady Medical was optimistic about Huatai Securities, giving a target price of 48.44 yuan; -Hongqi Chain was favored by CITIC Securities, with a target price of 6.80 yuan; -Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited, Jinshiyuan, Fulongma and many other stocks are listed.MetLife and General Atlantic are planning to form a reinsurance joint venture. It is reported that MetLife and General Atlantic are forming a reinsurance joint venture, which is the latest trend that insurance companies and alternative fund management companies jointly improve the return on low-risk insurance assets. Chariot Reinsurance, the joint venture, will have an initial equity of more than $1 billion, with MetLife and General Atlantic Insurance each holding about 15%. In addition, the insurance company Chubb will also become one of the major investors in the joint venture. The joint venture will be established in the first half of 2025, led by Cynthia Smith, who recently served as the head of the regional welfare business of Metropolitan Insurance Group.